A while back I wrote with some details of Canadian educational attainment in
Inflated expectations: Are students living in a dream?
I've since become interested in the numbers of the so-called STEM
fields (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Math) and thought I'd
write a supplement to the old post.
Let's start with a
highlight that stood out from the old post first. Based on the 2006
Canadian census, and focusing in on the 20 to 24 year old cohort:
roughly 78% or so (based on statistics from
ACT in Spring 2004,
regarding the USA) of high school students expected to get a college or
higher degree, but only 35.9% of the above cohort actually got anything
of the sort.
I think the 2011 census is now available,
but to keep the comparison focused on 2006 (I don't want to redo the
old post), I will continue to cite numbers from the 2006 Census [1].
Looking at just the Canadian population between the ages of 20 to
24 years, by highest certificate, diploma or degree attained:
| type of highest certificate, diploma or degree attained | total [2] | % of cohort size |
| 20-24 cohort, total size | 2,071,895 | 100% |
| only a high school certificate or equivalent | 889,275 | 42.9% |
| no certificate, diploma or degree at all | 286,050 | 13.8% |
| some kind of post-secondary qualification (trades certificate, diploma below bachelor level, PhD, etc.) | 896,575 | 43.3% |
| some kind of post-secondary qualification (trades certificate, diploma below bachelor level, PhD, etc.) in STEM fields | 258,305 | 12.5% |
| some kind of university certificate, diploma or degree | 344,795 | 16.6% |
| some kind of university certificate, diploma or degree in STEM fields | 87,000 | 4.2% |
Look at that, unemployment
notwithstanding, the education "system" converted only 4.2% of the 20
to 24 cohort into STEM university credentialed workers after a long
arduous process for the students involved.
Sure, the
STEM university credentialed group represents 25.2% of all those who
attained any university credentials at all, but it turns out in the
context of the entire cohort, it's just a drop in the bucket. That is
seriously concerning especially from an economics policy standpoint.
According to
University Completion,
"It has long been argued...university graduates, as a group, earn more,
on average, than college graduates do", which might imply we ought to
"sell" more university education,
any university education.
"However, recent research suggests the field of study may be more
important...One study, for example, found that males with university
degrees in academic disciplines—such as the humanities, education,
biology, and agriculture science—earned less than half of that earned by
males with university degrees in vocational and applied
disciplines—such as commerce, medicine, and engineering" (ibid.).
So,
not surprisingly, what field you study makes a difference! What's more,
"Canadians with scientific degrees tend to earn more. Five years after
graduation, engineers earn about $10,000 more annually than fine arts
and humanities graduates, and upwards of $5,000 more than social science
graduates. These earnings are in line with computer and physical
sciences" (
Percentage of Graduates in Science, Math, Computer Science, and Engineering).
What the research suggests, then, is that we ought to be "selling" more university education
specifically
in STEM and commerce fields. It's not just about helping students earn
more money after graduation, but as I've noted in the past [3], the very
fact the labour market provides greater incentive for a given
occupation is evidence there isn't enough people entering that career
path in the economy.
So let's get out there and sell more university STEM education!
Easier
said than done, of course. Certainly for STEM fields, but to some
extent for commerce fields as well (especially economics), a strong
basis in math is a pre-requisite to success. That means to get more
students into STEM and commerce fields, we may also have to get more
students to learn more math and to learn it better as a pre-requisite —
and that means high school math.
Therein, I'd argue,
lies a big part of the problem with getting more students into STEM
fields. It turns out high school math is hard, and getting more students
to attain a high-level of math skills is also hard. In fact, "The
proportion of Canadian [15 year old] students with high-level
mathematics skills dropped slightly between 2003 and 2009" (
Students With High-Level Math Skills) — that's six years of stagnation, if not decline.
So where are the Canadian STEM students? Don't be surprised you can't find them: literally over 95% of the 20 to 24 cohort just aren't into STEM.